Saturday, December 13, 2025

The Outlook News

Prices to rise on Monday due to wind power

European electricity prices will likely fall dramatically on Monday as wind power production is expected to increase in Germany and other parts of the region. LSEG data revealed that German -and French Monday baseload electricity contracts were not traded by?0859 GMT Friday. LSEG data shows that German wind power production is expected to increase by 12.3 gigawatts on Monday to 21.1 GW. French wind power is also projected to grow from 6.7 GW up to 9.7 GW. LSEG data indicated…

Suncor trims budget and projects increased oil and gas production in 2026

Suncor Energy forecast lower spending for 2026, despite increased oil and gas production. The company will tighten?costs, and increase shareholder returns through an expanded buyback plan. Suncor's outlook is similar to that of Canadian Natural Resources, Cenovus Energy and other oil sands producers in Canada. After years of investment, Canada's oil-sands producers have become among North America's low-cost operators and outperformed global competitors amid an oil?recession.

Bousso: ROI-Permian will retain US oil crown after peaking even though it has reached its peak

The Permian Basin is set to reach its peak oil production in December. This will be a turning point for the U.S. Shale Boom that has reshaped the global energy markets over the last 15 years. But drilling innovations will ensure that the output of America's most prolific patch of oil will remain stable for many years. In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that the Permian Basin, which spans West Texas, and Southeast New Mexico, will produce a record 6.76 million barrels of oil per day in December.

Bousso: ROI-Permian will retain US oil crown after peaking even though it has reached its peak

The Permian Basin is set to reach its peak oil production in December. This will be a turning point for the U.S. Shale Boom that has reshaped the global energy markets over the last 15 years. But drilling innovations mean that output in America's largest oil patch will remain stable for many years. In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that the Permian Basin, which spans West Texas and southeastern New Mexico will produce an unprecedented 6.76 million barrels of oil per day in December.

VCI Germany expects the chemical industry to stagnate by 2026

VCI, the German chemicals lobby group, expects sales and orders to stagnate in 2019. This is due to high regulatory uncertainty, uncompetitive manufacturing costs and a long approval process. The ?association, which represents around 2,300 companies, said revenues in the chemical-pharmaceutical industry fell 1% to 220 billion euros ($256.26 billion) in 2025. "I don't believe that certain measures will have a significant effect in the?short term but if we don't start today…

Germany's VCI predicts a "difficult road" and a stagnant chemical industry in 2026

VCI, the German chemicals lobby, expects that orders and sales will stagnate by 2026 due to high regulatory uncertainty, uncompetitive?production costs, and slow approval process. The ?association, which represents around 1,900 companies, said revenues in the chemical-pharmaceutical industry fell 1% to 220 billion euros ($256.26 billion) in 2025. The German chemicals industry, which employs around half a million people, is under increasing pressure due to high production costs, bureaucratic burdens, and a stagnant economy. This pressure is compounded by U.S. import tariffs.

EIA: US natgas production and demand will reach record highs by 2025

The U.S. Energy Information Administration stated in its "Short-Term" Energy Outlook on Tuesday that U.S. Natural Gas output and demand would 'both rise to new record highs by 2025. EIA projects that dry gas production in 2026 will increase from 103.2 billion cubic feet per day to 107.7 in 2025, and 109.1 in 2026. This compares to a record 103.6 bcfd for 2023. The agency also predicted that domestic gas consumption would?rise? from a record high of 90.4 bcfd by 2024, to 91.8bcfd by?2025, before slipping to 90.8bcfd by 2026.

EIA: US power consumption will reach new highs by 2025 and 26.

Energy Information Administration's short-term energy forecast on Tuesday said that U.S. electricity consumption would reach record levels in 2025 and in 2026. EIA predicted that power demand would rise from 4,110 billion kWh to 4,199 billion in 2025 and 4,267 billion in 2026. Demand is increasing due to the use of electricity by homes and businesses and data centers dedicated for artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency. According to the EIA, power sales for residential customers will reach?1…

USDA maintains its US soybean export outlook after China resumes sales

In a report released on Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture kept its U.S. soyabean export forecast unchanged. Sales to China had resumed following a months-long boycott by Washington. USDA estimated soybean exports for the 2025/26 crop season, which ends on August 31, at 1.635 trillion bushels. The USDA also reported that ending stocks were unchanged from a month ago at 290,000,000 bushels. China, the world's largest soy -importer, has resumed purchasing U.S. soybeans after a meeting in late October between Presidents Xi Jinping & Donald Trump.

Oil Prices Steady with Ukraine Peace Talks, US Interest Rate Decision Looms

© Adobe Stock/Who is Danny

Oil prices steadied on Tuesday after falling 2% in the previous session, with investors keeping a close eye on peace talks to end Russia's war in Ukraine, concerns about ample supply and a looming decision on U.S. interest rates.Brent crude futures edged 3 cents higher to $62.52 a barrel at 1317 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 4 cents at $58.92 a barrel.Both contracts fell by more than $1 a barrel on Monday after Iraq restored production at Lukoil's West Qurna 2 oilfield, one of the world's largest.Ukraine will share a revised peace plan with the U.S.

Exxon predicts increased earnings and oil production by 2030

Tuesday, Exxon Mobil announced that it would target a $25 billion?earnings increase from 2024-2030. The company will also?increase its oil and gas production. Exxon's earnings forecast represents a $5-billion increase over its previous plan. However, Exxon plans to maintain the same spending targets of $28 billion - $30 billion annually through 2030. Exxon said its updated corporate plan reflects the company's efforts to reduce costs and?"increase profits" even during periods of oil price volatility. Upstream, the oil producer's focus includes expanding its liquefied gas business.

EUROPE GAS-European Prices Rise on Slightly Stronger Demand Outlook

Dutch and British gas rates firmed up on Tuesday. Forecasts suggest a slightly higher demand, although both pipeline?and liquefied (LNG?) supply remain robust. LSEG data revealed that the benchmark Dutch front-month MWh contract at TTF hub had increased by 0.16?euros to 27.33 euros (MWh) or $9.33/mmBtu as of 0913 GMT. It fell to its lowest level in April 2024, 26.75 Euros/MWh on Monday. The Dutch day-ahead contracts eased by 0.03 euros, to 26.77 Euros/MWh. The British day-ahead gasoline price increased by 1.85 pence to 68.60 cents.

Oil Prices Fall as Iraqi Production is Restored, Ukraine Talks Continue

© Adobe Stock/hamara

Oil prices slipped more than $1 on Monday after Iraq restored production at one of its oilfields which accounts for 0.5% of world oil supply, while investors weighed ongoing talks to end the war in Ukraine.Brent crude futures were down $1.07, or 1.68%, at $62.68 a barrel by 11:05 p.m. EDT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $59.07, down $1.01, or 1.68%.Iraq restored production at Lukoil's West Qurna 2 oilfield, one of the world's largest, after a leak on an export pipeline slashed its output…

Industry group: China's coal demand will fall for the first time in 8 years.

An industry group said that China's coal usage is expected to decline for the first time since 2017, as the power sector reduces its use. However, consumption could grow modestly next year. The China Coal Transportation and Distribution Association's (CCTD) website cited the comments made by a representative during a meeting held on Wednesday but did not provide a precise figure of consumption. The industry has a long way to go in tackling overcapacity, said the representative of the industry. He was referring to an initiative by the Chinese government to combat this problem.

EUROPE GAS - European prices drop on warmer and windier weather

The Dutch and British gas price continued to drop on Friday as the forecast of warmer and windier weather for next week reduced demand and tightened up the spread between United States gas delivery and Dutch prices. LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract was lower by 0.32 euros, or $9.26/mmBtu at 1025 GMT. Data showed that the U.S. Henry Hub front-month contract fell by 0.10 euros to 14.73 euros/MWh or $5.03/mmBtu. The U.S. Natural Gas Futures are trading at 35-month highs, on the back of near-record gas flows to LNG export plants.

Reduced wind output increases power prices

The European day-ahead electricity prices rose on Thursday, compared to the previous session. This is because wind generation in the region is expected decrease. Riccardo Paraviero, LSEG analyst, said that the fundamental outlook for Germany has changed again to a tighter one. This is primarily due to the decreasing supply of wind energy. He added that conditions are similar across the rest the region. The French and Dutch residual loads will rise dramatically. LSEG data shows that the German day-ahead contracts rose 15.8% to close at 150 euros ($175.11) a megawatt hour…

French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch

Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets and individual stocks in France and Benelux. Source familiar with the issue said that German, French, and Spanish Defence Ministers will meet on December 11, to discuss FCAS. Europe's next generation fighter project is at risk due to industrial turf wars. AIRBUS/TIGERAIR : Taiwan's low-cost airline Tigerair 6757.TW announced on Wednesday that the board of directors had approved the purchase of 4 new A321neo planes from Airbus AIR.PA…

Glencore reduces copper target for next year, aiming at 1.6 million tonnes by 2035

Glencore cut Wednesday its copper production guidance for 2026, but stated that it hopes to reach 1.6 millions metric tons of copper by 2035 with new and restarted mining operations and streamlined processes. Gary Nagle, CEO of Glencore, said at the first investor day held in London for three years that "we have a path to surpass 1 million tonnes annual production in our base copper business by 2028". Glencore said that it will also eliminate about 1,000 jobs in its new structure.

EUROPE GAS - European benchmark gas hits new intraday low of 18 months on milder outlook

As the milder weather has lowered demand for heating, and as markets await any progress in U.S. led Russia-Ukraine talks, the European benchmark contract reached its lowest intraday price in over 18 months on Sunday morning. LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract was at its lowest intraday price since May 15, 2024, at 28.05 Euro per megawatt hour or $9.55/mmBtu. The Dutch February electricity price fell by 0.53 euros to 28.22 Euro/MWh. The British day-ahead contracts was down 2.45 pennies at 72.85 pence per therm.

French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch

Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets in France and Benelux or even individual stocks. Airbus: According to industry sources, the plane maker has ordered a software update for a large number of its A320 family jets. This will affect over half of their global fleet or 6,000 jets. Axa, the French insurer, announced on Friday that it had acquired a 51% share in Italian direct insurance group Prima. The deal was announced at the beginning of August.