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Oil Steadies Around $99 on Possible OPEC Output Cut

Posted by September 17, 2014

Brent crude oil steadied at around $99 per barrel on Wednesday, after jumping on Tuesday on hopes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) would help reduce a global supply glut by cutting output.


Prices rose by the most in two-and-a-half months on Tuesday after OPEC Secretary General Abdullah al-Badri said the group could trim its 2015 output target by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd). The benchmark had hit a a 26-month low the previous day on rising supplies and signs of slower demand growth in China and Europe.

Many OPEC countries need oil prices above $100 a barrel in order to meet their budget needs and analysts say Saudi Arabia, OPEC's biggest producer, could cut production in an effort to support prices. Any production cut by OPEC, due to meet in November, would be the group's first since 2008.

"It makes sense for Saudi Arabia to curb supply," Michael Poulsen, oil analyst for A/S Global Risk Management, said. "We're a bit in no man's land at the moment ... until we enter the season for higher demand for distillates and heating oil."

Brent was up 23 cents at $99.28 a barrel by 1330 GMT, after closing up $2.40 in the previous session, the biggest daily gain since Sept. 3. U.S. crude was down 21 cents to $94.67 after rising 2.1 percent on Tuesday.

Brent hit a high above $115 a barrel in June on concerns an Islamist insurgency in Iraq could hit oil output in OPEC's second biggest producer. But Iraqi oil exports have been steady and rising U.S. oil production, mostly from shale, has more than compensated for any lost output, creating a huge surplus in the Atlantic Basin and Asia.

Conflict in oil producing regions remains a worry.

Libya's El Sharara oil field was shut after a tank was damaged at the Zawiya refinery, which it supplies, an oil ministry official said on Wednesday, closing around 200,000 barrels a day of output.

Traders kept an eye on Nigeria, where oil workers said they had started a strike that could affect exports.

Oil investors are concerned about the global economic outlook, the strength of the U.S. dollar and the outcome of an independence vote in Scotland that could rock financial markets.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday showed a surprise build of 3.3 million barrels in U.S. crude stocks last week, compared with analysts' expectations of a 1.6 million barrel draw.

The Energy Information Administration will release official inventory data at 1430 GMT.

(By Libby George, Additional reporting by Jane Xie in Singapore and Claire Milhench in London; Editing by Christopher Johnson and Michael Urquhart)

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