As Wars Rage, Middle East's Waning Influence on World Oil Prices Exposed
The contained move in oil prices during the Israel-Iran war highlights the increasing efficiency of energy markets and fundamental changes to global crude supply, suggesting that Middle East politics will no longer be the dominant force in oil markets they once were.The jump in oil prices following Israel's surprise attack on Iran was meaningful but relatively modest considering the high stakes involved in the conflict between the Middle East rivals.Benchmark Brent crude prices…
What is more influential on crude oil? What is more influential: US bombs, or Iran's quiet allies?
The sharp decline in the Israel-Iran War Premium for Crude Oil shows how a few key words can move the market. However, it also hides the influence of those who remain largely silent. Brent futures, the global benchmark, plunged after U.S. president Donald Trump announced a "complete" and "total" ceasefire will be implemented between Israel and Iran. Brent crude oil ended Monday at $71.48 per barrel, down 7.2% compared to its previous close.
What is more influential on crude oil? What is more influential: US bombs, or Iran's quiet allies?
The sharp decline in the Israel-Iran War Premium for Crude Oil shows how a few key words can move the market. However, it also hides the influence of those who remain largely silent. Brent futures, the global benchmark, plunged after U.S. president Donald Trump announced a "complete" and "total" ceasefire will be implemented between Israel and Iran. Brent crude oil ended Monday at $71.48 per barrel, down 7.2% compared to its previous close.
GRAINS and soybeans slump due to 'greenhouse weather' in US
Chicago soybean futures eased Monday as favorable weather conditions in the U.S. took the attention away from the U.S. strike on Iran that occurred over the weekend. The price of November soybeans dropped by 14 cents to $10.46-3/4 a bushel. Chicago corn fell due to weather pressure and wheat also declined with an accelerated harvest. Midwest Market Solutions president Brian Hoops said that the forecast for the week ending July 2 shows a warm and wet weather across the U.S. Corn Belt.
Canada Produces First LNG For Export
The Shell-led Canada facility has produced its first liquefied natural gas for export in Kitimat, British Columbia, a spokesperson for the project confirmed on Sunday.The new production, which will go mainly to Asia, comes amid concerns over disruptions to the 20% of global gas supply coming from Qatar, due to the Israel-Iran conflict and the possibility of Tehran closing the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping lane.The facility has not yet loaded its first LNG export cargo…
Sources say that Brazil's Petrobras has held off on raising fuel prices amid tensions with Iran.
Petrobras, the Brazilian oil company, is closely watching geopolitical tensions that have been driving up global oil prices in recent weeks. However, it does not intend to adjust domestic fuel prices at this time, according to two sources. Sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity said that the state run oil giant was waiting for a sustained change in Brent crude price before considering any changes to prices. The global benchmark Brent price fluctuated on Monday.
Thermal Coal May Offer An Affordable Solution As LNG Prices Rise
Thermal coal may end up as a major beneficiary of escalating hostilities in the Middle East, as the fuel used to generate electricity becomes cheaper than one of its main competitors liquefied natural gas (LNG).Much of the focus of the potential fallout from the conflict between Israel, and now the United States, and Iran is the threat to crude oil and refined fuels shipped through the Strait of Hormuz.But all of Qatar's LNG also goes through the narrow waterway separating the gulfs of Persia and Oman…
Russell: Iran tensions are a factor in making thermal coal more affordable than LNG.
The escalating conflict in the Middle East may result in thermal coal being a major winner, since the fuel used for electricity generation is now cheaper than its main competitor, liquefied gas (LNG). The threat of crude oil and refined fuels being shipped through the Strait of Hormuz is a major concern of those who are concerned about the possible fallout of the conflict between Israel and the United States and Iran.
The price of gas in Europe is rising as geopolitical tensions fuel concerns about supply disruption
Dutch and British wholesale prices for gas rose on Monday as markets prepared themselves for Iran's reaction to the U.S. strike on its nuclear sites. They also raised concerns about supply disruptions, higher insurance costs and possible supply disruptions if Tehran closes the Strait of Hormuz. LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract for the TTF hub increased by 0.95 euros to 41.60 Euro per megawatt hour or MWh, or $14.01/mmBtu at 0803 GMT.
Russell: Iran tensions are a factor in making thermal coal more affordable than LNG.
The escalating conflict in the Middle East may result in thermal coal being a major winner, since the fuel used for electricity generation is now cheaper than its main competitor liquefied gas (LNG). The threat of crude oil and refined fuels being shipped through the Strait of Hormuz is a major concern of those who are concerned about the possible fallout of the conflict between Israel and the United States and Iran.
The price of gas in Europe has fallen from its 11-week peak, but Middle East concerns remain dominant
The Dutch and British wholesale prices of gas largely eased Friday morning, after reaching new 11-week-highs on Thursday. However, they remain volatile due to the possibility of an escalation of the Israel-Iran dispute and possible U.S. participation. LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract for the TTF hub fell 0.23 euros to 40.05 Euro per megawatt hour by 849 GMT. The contract rose briefly to 41.85 Euros/MWh intraday on Thursday, its highest level in since April 2.
Prices for EUROPE Gas are rising on fears that escalation in the Middle East conflict could disrupt supplies
Dutch and British wholesale prices of gas rose early on Thursday, as fears that an escalation in the Israel-Iran war could disrupt the supply affected the market. LSEG data show that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract was up 0.05 euros to 39.90 Euros per Megawatt Hour (MWh) / $13.41/mmBtu at 0821 GMT. The Dutch August contract increased by 0.33 euros to 40.40 Euro/MWh. The British front-month contracts increased by 2.88 pence to 94.28 per therm. "We do...
Eni CEO: Oil markets do not expect closure of the Hormuz Strait
Eni's CEO, Eni of Italy, said that oil markets were signaling an unlikely escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran or the closing of the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Oman, located between Oman and Iran, connects the Gulf of Oman in the north with the Gulf of Oman in the south. It also links the Arabian Sea to the east. Claudio Descalzi, Eni, said at an energy conference that the markets had not yet pushed crude oil prices above $80 or $90 per barrel…
Yergin: The next 3-5 days will be critical for the global energy markets if Israel and Iran have a significant development.
The next three to five day developments in the Iran-Israel conflict will be crucial for global energy markets, even though the Gulf oil and gas supply has not been interrupted yet. This was the view of oil historian Daniel Yergin on Wednesday. Iran and Israel launched missile attacks on each other Wednesday, as the air conflict between the two longtime rivals entered its sixth day. This was despite the U.S. president…
Qatari Output at Gas Field Shared With Iran Is Steady
Qatar's gas production at the South Pars field is steady and supply is proceeding normally, it said on Tuesday, after the world's largest gas field was hit by an Israeli airstrike on Saturday, prompting Iran to partially suspend its production.Qatar, the world's third-biggest liquefied natural gas exporter after the U.S. and Australia, shares the South Pars gas field with Iran."So far, gas supplies are proceeding normally.
Russell: What is not happening in Middle East crude oil supply matters more.
It can be useful to consider what isn't happening in the Middle East when tensions are rising. On the crude oil markets, this means that we should focus on the fact there has not been a single barrel lost. All parties are interested in this situation. Crude oil prices increased again during early Asian trade on Monday. Brent futures, the global benchmark, gained 2.1% and traded at $75.76 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose…
The price of gas in Europe is rising as Israel and Iran continue to attack each other
Dutch and British wholesale prices for gas rose mainly on Monday due to the threat of gas shortages and the intensification of the conflict between Israel and Iran. According to LSEG, the benchmark Dutch front-month contract for the TTF hub increased by 0.51 euros to 38.40 Euro per megawatt hour at 0714 GMT. It reached its highest level in early April. The price for the day ahead was 38.17 Euro/MWh, up 0.54 euros. The British contract was 1.91 pence more expensive at 91.47 cents per therm.
Russell: What is not happening in Middle East crude oil supply is more important than what is.
In times of increased tensions in the Middle East, it's more important to focus on what isn't happening than to fixate on the dramatic headlines about tit-fortat air and rocket strikes between Israel and Iran. This means that from the perspective of the crude oil market, it's important to focus on the fact that not a single barrel of crude supply has been lost. It is also in the interest of all parties involved that this continues to be the case. Crude oil prices increased again during early Asian trade on Monday.
Wall St. drops sharply as Iran strikes back at Israel's attack
Wall Street closed sharply lower Friday, after Iran fired missiles towards Israel in response intensive Israeli strikes designed to cripple Tehran's nuclear weapons-building capability. Israel's military spokesperson said that missiles fired by Iran were the cause of the explosions and sirens heard across the country. This came after Israel attacked nuclear facilities and missile plants in Iran. Tensions escalated in the Middle East, and investor confidence was undermined.
Commodity Report: Meeting Oil Demand a Challenge if Israel Hits Iran Oil
Oil market participants have switched to dreading a shortage in fuel from focusing on impending oversupply in just two days this week.After Israel attacked Iran and Tehran pledged to retaliate, oil prices jumped as much as 13% to their highest since January as investors price in an increased probability of a major disruption in Middle East oil supplies.Part of the reason for the rapid spike is that spare capacity among OPEC and allies to pump more oil to offset any disruption is roughly equivalent to Iran's output…
