Oil Falls on Demand Worries, Market Awaits Fed Advice
Oil prices eased about 1% to a one-week low on Tuesday on demand worries following the release of negative economic news from Germany and China, while investors remained cautious ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve decision on interest rates.Brent futures fell 90 cents, or 1.2%, to $73.01 a barrel by 1:36 p.m. EST (1836 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 86 cents, or 1.2%, to $69.85. That puts both crude benchmarks on track for their lowest closes since Dec.
IEA projects a comfortably supplied oil market by 2025 despite a demand increase
The International Energy Agency (IEA), which is a part of the OPEC+ producer group, said that there will be enough oil on the world market in 2025. This was despite OPEC+ extending its oil supply cuts, and a slightly higher demand forecast than expected. The Agency said that its current outlook indicates a 950,000 barrels a day overhang in the next year – equal to almost 1% of the world's output – despite OPEC+ extending their output cuts until April 2025. OPEC+ is made up of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies like Russia.
As tensions in the Middle East increase, demand worries are offset.
The oil prices rose on Monday, as the heightened tensions that followed the rebels' overthrow in Syria of President Bashar al Assad offset concerns about the weak Chinese demand highlighted by Saudi Aramco’s price reductions to Asian buyers. Brent crude futures increased by 22 cents or 0.3% to $71.34 a barrel at 0140 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 22 cents or 0.3% to $67.42 a barrel. Brent fell more than 2.5% and WTI dropped 1.2% last week as analysts…
Oil Slips, Weekly Loss Looms
Oil prices fell 1% on Friday and were headed for a weekly loss as analysts projected a supply surplus next year despite an OPEC+ decision to delay output hikes and extend deep production cuts to the end of 2026.Brent crude futures were down 85 cents, or 1%, to $71.24 per barrel at 11:04 a.m. EST. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 were down 92 cents, or 1%, to $67.38 per barrel.For the week, Brent was on track to fall by more than 2%, while WTI was on course for a nearly 1% drop.On Thursday…
Sechin, Rosneft CEO, says that OPEC+ cuts in output made the US the top energy exporter.
Igor Sechin, head of Russia's biggest oil producer Rosneft, said that the OPEC+'s decision to reduce oil production in 2016 and 2020 has helped the U.S. shale sector and made it a major global energy exporter. Sechin said, at a forum held in the United Arab Emirates that Russia and its partners had made the most significant contributions to stabilising the global energy markets in the last 10 years. Sechin, a long-time ally of Russian president Vladimir Putin, has expressed scepticism in the past about Russia's collaboration with OPEC.
Oil Rises on Lebanon Fears, possible OPEC cuts
Oil prices rose more than 2% on Tuesday as Israel threatened to attack the Lebanese state if its truce with Hezbollah collapses, and as investors positioned for OPEC+ to announce an extension of supply cuts this week.Brent crude futures posted their biggest gains in two weeks, rising by $1.79, or 2.5%, to settle at $73.62 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures also rose the most since Nov. 18, gaining $1.84, or 2.7%, to close at $69.94 per barrel.Israeli forces…
OPEC+ Postpones its output policy meeting until Dec 5
OPEC announced on Thursday that the OPEC+ group of oil producing countries had postponed their next meeting regarding output policy from December 1 to Dec. 5, to avoid a clash with another event. OPEC announced that several OPEC+ Ministers will attend a summit of Gulf Arab Countries to be held on December 1 in Kuwait City. Before the official announcement, a source said that "Sunday is not for everyone". Top OPEC+ Ministers held discussions ahead of the summit. OPEC+ has said…
Oil Slips as U.S. Gasoline Stocks Surprise
Oil prices edged lower on Wednesday as a large, surprise build in U.S. gasoline stocks outweighed easing supply concerns from a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hezbollah.Brent crude futures fell 12 cents, or 0.2%, to $723.69 a barrel by 10:40 a.m. ET (1540 GMT) and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 eased 15 cents, or 0.2%, to $68.64.U.S. gasoline stocks rose by 3.3 million barrels in the week to 212.2 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 46…
EIA increases US and global oil production estimates by a small amount
The U.S. Energy Information Administration announced on Wednesday that both U.S. oil production and global oil output are expected to reach record highs in this year, slightly higher than previous forecasts. Oil prices have fallen to their lowest level since 2021 despite the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies cutting production. The EIA reported that the U.S. oil production is expected to reach an average of 13.23 million barrels a day (bpd), which is about 300,000 more than last year's 12.93 million bpd record. The EIA had earlier predicted that U.S.
Oil hedging activity reaches record levels in October as traders take on market risks
Oil futures and option trading reached record levels during October as investors sought to hedge against the growing uncertainty caused by the ongoing war in the Middle East, and an upcoming bearish supply and demand forecast for 2025. This led to big swings in oil prices. By locking in an oil price, hedging can protect producers from market volatility and reduce their risk. This can give traders the opportunity to make money during volatile times. According to the Intercontinental Exchange, 68.44 millions barrels of crude oil were traded as futures and options in October.
Prabowo wants to increase Indonesia's energy independence through biofuels and oil and gas reforms
Officials have stated that Indonesia's new Government aims to revitalize oil and gas production. They plan to reduce regulations, reactivate inactive wells, and increase output in producing assets to reverse a decades-long drop in output.The new president, Prabowo Subianto, took his oath on Sunday. He also plans to continue the efforts of the previous administration to exploit the massive gas finds in South Andaman, and to increase the use of biofuels.Indonesia, a former member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)…
China's rapid electricification is hurting oil producers, says Russell
O Ver-estimating China's desire for crude oil has played a role in the oil markets, particularly by OPEC. This theme is likely to continue into future years. China is the leader in the transition to electric cars, having already reached 50% of new sales. The rest of the globe is expected to reach this level by 2030. According to this forecast (which is what the IEA calls the Stated Policies Scenario, or STEPS), the growth of EVs will displace around 6,000,000 barrels of crude oil per day.
Azerbaijan's oil production for 9 months down 4.8%, says ministry
Azerbaijan’s oil production fell by 4.8% in the first nine-month period of 2024 to 21.6 millions metric tonnes, down from 22.7million metric tons one year ago, said Energy Minister Parviz Shabazov on Monday. He didn't explain the cause of the decline. Production of oil in Azerbaijan has been declining for several years as the output at Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli complex of offshore oilfields, operated by BP, has passed its peak. Azerbaijan belongs to the OPEC+, a group of major oil producers that has reduced oil production in order to stabilize energy markets.
Oil Minister: India ready to handle any oil shortages caused by Middle East conflict
Hardeep Singh Puri, the oil minister of India, said that India would be able navigate any potential disruption to its oil supply from a possible expansion of the Middle East conflict. India, which is the third largest oil consumer and importer in the world, imports 85% of their daily oil requirements of over 5 million barrels. A large part of this oil comes from Middle East producers. Brent oil is now nearing $80 per barrel due to concerns about a larger Middle East conflict.
OPEC rebuts WSJ Article on Saudi Saying Oil Prices Could Drop to $50
OPEC rebutted a Wall Street Journal article on Wednesday. It called it inaccurate and misleading, stating that Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister warned oil prices would drop to $50 if OPEC+ member countries did not adhere to production limits agreed upon. Unidentified delegates of the oil producers' group told the report that they heard Prince Abdulaziz Bin Salman give the warning during a conference last week. According to the WSJ, he singled out Iraq for overproduction. The…
OPEC+ panel doubles down on compliance with output policy
The top OPEC+ Ministers met to keep the oil production policy unchanged, including a plan for a gradual increase in output starting from December. They also stressed that some members must make additional cuts to compensate for excessive output. On Wednesday, a number of ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies, led by Russia, met online in a joint ministerial monitor committee (JMMC). The oil price dropped below $70 per barrel for the first since 2021 in September…
OPEC+ unlikely change policy on output at Oct. 2 panel
Five sources within the group said that despite recent drops in oil prices an OPEC+ panel will not recommend any changes this week to its current agreement to reduce production or to begin unwinding cuts made since December. On Wednesday, 1200 GMT, top ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies, led by Russia, will meet online to form a Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC). Brent crude oil prices fell in 2024. Last month, Brent crude dropped below $70 a barrel for the first since 2021.
Russia's Novak believes that oil volatility is easing despite Middle East turmoil
Alexander Novak, Russian Deputy Premier Minister, told Al Arabiya News that he expects the volatility in oil prices to subside after the Middle East tensions have triggered it. Geopolitical risk has already been factored into the price fluctuations. Novak, who oversees the Russian economy as a whole, has said that the economy is still suffering from sanctions and will withstand any pressure or price cap imposed by the West on oil. Novak said in an interview with Al Arabiya News published on Monday that "we can live through any cost". The oil prices continued to rise on Monday.
Morgan Stanley lowers Brent crude oil price forecast as market signals softening demand
Morgan Stanley cut its Brent crude forecasts for the coming quarters on Monday and said that the global oil market was facing a period similar to recessions when demand is weak. Brent crude futures reached their lowest level since December 2021 at $71,06 on Friday. Brent crude was trading at around $71.74 per barrel by 1026 GMT. Morgan Stanley stated that the rising fuel inventories and lower refining margins, as well as the spread between the current price and the future price, all echo past recessionary periods and other moments of low demand.
APPEC/S&P Global predicts OPEC+ will increase their oil production next year
An executive from S&P Global told a Monday conference that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies are expected to increase their production in 2025 for the first time since a few years. OPEC+ agreed last week to postpone a planned increase in oil production for October and November after crude prices fell to their lowest level in nine months. It added that it could further pause, or reverse, the hikes if necessary. Jim Burkhard told the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference that OPEC+ would increase its production in 2025…
