Oil Edges to 2-Week High on Ukraine News
Oil prices edged up about 1% to a two-week high on Friday as the intensifying war in Ukraine this week boosted the market's geopolitical risk premium.Brent futures rose 66 cents, or 0.9%, to $74.89 a barrel by 11:39 a.m. EST (1639 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 rose 77 cents, or 1.1%, to $70.87.That put both crude benchmarks up over 5% for the week and on track for their highest closes since Nov. 7 as Moscow steps up its Ukraine offensive after Britain and the U.S.
Palm prices fall on weaker demand for exports and Chicago soyoil.
Malaysian palm futures fell on Wednesday due to a weaker Chicago soyoil price and sluggish demand for exports. Investors are awaiting cargo surveyor data in order to determine the direction of prices. By midday, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Derivatives Malaysia Exchange for February delivery had fallen 33 ringgit or 0.67% to 4,891 Ringgit ($1,094.92) per metric ton. The contract gained 0.51% during the last session. David Ng said that the market fell on a weaker export demand…
India Defends Propping Up Russian Oil - Prices "would have hit the roof"
Global oil prices "would have hit the roof" if big importer India had not bought oil from Russia following the Ukraine war, India's oil minister said, adding that prices would determine where the country buys oil from.India, the world's third largest oil importer and consumer, has become the top buyer of discounted Russian sea-borne oil shunned by Western countries since Ukraine's invasion began in early 2022. Before that, India bought little oil from its long-running defence partner…
Oil Dips 2% as Hurricane Fears Ease
Oil prices fell more than 2% on Friday as traders grew less fearful of prolonged supply disruptions from a hurricane in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, while China's latest economic-stimulus packages failed to impress some oil traders.U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures CLc1 led the decline, down 2.8%, or $2.01, at 70.35 per barrel by 1:32 p.m. ET (1832 GMT) . Global benchmark Brent crude futures LCOc1 fell 2.3%, or $1.77, to $73.86 per barrel.Energy producers shut in more than 22% of oil output in the U.S.
Cargill estimates that China's palm oil demand in 2024 will drop 30% year-on-year.
A Cargill executive said that the demand for palm products in China will drop by 30% between 2024 and 2019. This is because high prices have made it less appealing than soyoil, while vegetable oil demand stagnates. The benchmark palm oil price in Malaysia has risen over 30% this year, despite the fact that production in Indonesia's top producer is falling and there are positive sentiments about its plans to expand its biodiesel mandate. Ryan Chen, director of Cargill Investments China Ltd…
Prices of oil fall as Hurricane Rafael is expected to weaken
The oil prices dropped slightly on Friday, as the market continued to assess how Donald Trump's policy might impact supplies. Brent crude oil futures dropped 26 cents or 0.3% to $75.37 a barrel at 0209 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), gained 35 cents, or 0.5%, to $72.01. After a nearly 1% increase on Thursday, benchmarks dropped. Brent is expected to increase by 3.1% this week while WTI will rise 4.1%. The U.S. National Hurricane Center stated that Hurricane Rafael is forecast to move slowly to the west over the Gulf of Mexico, away from U.S.
Dalian palm oil is supported by other oils
The Dalian palm oil market, which is a rival to the Malaysian palm oils market, has seen gains on Thursday. On the closing, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Malaysia's Derivatives exchange for January delivery gained 33 ringgit (0.67%) to 4,950 Ringgit ($1,125.00). Dalian's palm oil contract, which is the most active contract, gained 2.8% while soyoil prices rose by 1.78%. Chicago Board of Trade soyoil prices were down by 0.56%. As palm oil competes to gain a share of the global vegetable oil market, it tracks the price fluctuations of competing edible oils.
Vitol CEO flags supply uncertainties as he predicts oil prices of $70-$80/bbl by 2025
Russell Hardy, the CEO of Vitol - the world's biggest independent oil trader - said that global oil prices will remain in the $70 - $80 range per barrel in 2025. Geopolitical risk creates uncertainty about supply. The world oil price has been capped due to concerns over a reversal of OPEC+'s supply cuts by 2025, and China’s slow oil demand growth despite the risks of disruption in Middle East supply. He said that the market was driven by a concern over the balances of 2025. He said that there are still many geopolitical tensions and unknowns in the Middle East.
EIA reports that US crude, gasoline, and distillate stocks rose last week.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA), which released its report on Wednesday, said that the U.S. crude, gasoline, and distillate inventory increased last week. The EIA reported that crude inventories increased by 2.1 millions barrels, to 427.7million barrels during the week ended Nov. 1. This was a far cry from the 1.1 million barrels analysts had predicted in a recent poll. Crude oil stocks at Cushing, Oklahoma's delivery hub, rose by 522,000 barrels during the past week. U.S. crude oil prices rose after the report.
Palm oil prices end higher due to rival oils' strength and a weaker Ringgit
Malaysian palm futures closed higher on Wednesday. This was supported by gains made in vegetable oils that are competing with palm oil and the weaker ringgit. Investors will be looking for clues at an industry conference starting in Indonesia later this week, and data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board due next week. On the closing, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Malaysia's Derivatives exchange for January delivery gained 112 Ringgit (2.33%) to 4,918 Ringgit ($1,117.73).
Palm prices rise despite profit-taking and premium concerns
Malaysian palm futures rose for the second session in a row on Wednesday, despite profit taking pressure and fears that a wider premium over competing oils could dampen demand. The benchmark contract for palm oil delivery in January on the Bursa Derivatives Exchange rose 58 ringgit or 1.25% to 4,695 Ringgit ($1,073.14) per metric ton. The contract has increased by 3.67% in two sessions. Thursday is a holiday and the market will be closed. Crude palm futures prices showed resilience in the previous session, but a slight retracement due to profit-taking activities is expected, said Darren Lim.
Wilmar, a trader, claims that ethanol production will prevent Indian sugar from being exported.
Wilmar, a Singapore-based commodities broker, said that the increase in ethanol produced in India will result in lower local sugar availability. This will prevent the country exporting sugar during the 2024/25 period. India, the second largest sugar producer in the world after Brazil has not been able to export its sugar to ensure local supply as a larger share of its sucrose production is diverted to produce alcohol instead. Wilmar estimated on Monday that India will divert 5 million…
Agrovet executive: India palm oil production to triple in six years as farmers plant additional crops
A senior industry official stated on Friday that India's palm-oil production will likely triple in the next six years, as oil palm plantations expand and mature. Palm oil is the world's largest edible oil supplier. It comes from Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. India's edible oil imports, which account for almost two-thirds its total consumption, will be reduced by increasing production. According to Sougata Nyogi, the chief executive of India's largest palm oil producer Godrej Agrovet Ltd…
Palm extends its losses as concerns about demand weigh
Malaysian palm futures continued to fall on Friday. They hit a new low of three weeks, as the sluggish market outweighed worries about supplies of sunflower oil from the Black Sea region, which is the largest producer, and gains in soft oils. The benchmark contract for palm oil delivery in November on Bursa Derivatives exchange was down 21 Ringgit (0.55%) at $3,831 Ringgit ($888.45). The contract is down 1.7% this week. A Mumbai-based trader said that palm oil has been struggling to recover, despite the gains made by soyoil. Sunoil supply is also a concern.
VEGOILS - Palm extends its winning streak on concerns about output; firm ringgit is a factor
The price of Malaysian palm oils futures increased for the fifth consecutive session on Tuesday, despite concerns about production. A stronger ringgit and cancellations by India, the world's largest buyer in terms of palm oil imports, capped the gains. The benchmark palm-oil contract for December delivery at the Bursa Derivatives Market closed 12 ringgit or 0.3% higher, closing at $3,989 ($961.20) per metric ton. The contract's price has increased 6.7% over the last five sessions. Refiners in India cancelled orders for 100,000 metric tons palm oil due to be delivered between October and December.
Palm extends its loss due to rival oil weakness
The price of Malaysian palm oils futures continued to fall on Tuesday. This was due to the weakness in other oils, but strong export data helped limit losses. By midday, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Derivatives Exchange for December delivery fell 38 ringgit or 0.88% to 4,275 Ringgit ($993.26) per metric ton. David Ng said that the market was being impacted by the overnight decline in Chicago soyoil prices and the lower Dalian palm olein, a proprietary trading at Kuala Lumpur based trading firm Iceberg X Sdn Bhd.
VEGOILS - Palm oil rises by more than 4%, the biggest increase in over a month on higher oil and soyoil
The price of crude oil and Chicago soyoil drove the increase in Malaysian palm oils futures by more than 4%. At the close of the day, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Derivatives Malaysia Exchange for December delivery rose by 190 ringgit or 4.74% to 4,196 ringgit (1,006.72) per metric tonne, the highest gain recorded since July 3, 2023. The contract rose by 4.79%, reaching an intraday high of 4198 ringgit per metric ton in the first session. The contract also rose 5.03% in two consecutive sessions.
EIA: US crude and gasoline inventories increase, while distillates are drawn down.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA), which is responsible for the U.S. Energy industry, announced on Wednesday that crude oil and gasoline stocks in the United States increased while distillate stockpiles fell. The EIA reported that crude inventories increased by 5.5 millions barrels, to 426,000,000 barrels for the week ending October 18. This was compared to analysts' expectations based on a poll of 270,000 barrels. The EIA reported that crude stocks at Cushing, Oklahoma's delivery hub, fell by 346,000 barrels. U.S. Crude and Brent Futures extended losses following the data.
Palm prices surge for a fourth day due to lower stocks and possible production drops
Malaysian palm oils jumped by more than 2% in value on Thursday. This was due to expectations that palm production would decline and the national stockpiles would be reduced. The benchmark contract for palm oil delivery in January on the Bursa Derivatives Market gained 116 Ringgit or 2.59% to 4,602 Ringgit per metric ton. The contract gained 7.92% in total over four sessions. David Ng is a proprietary trader with Kuala Lumpur's trading firm Iceberg X Sdn Bhd. He said that the prices of crude palm oil opened higher on expectations of a weaker production and lower stock levels.
Palm prices fall as India rejects premium prices and funds drive the market
Malaysian palm futures declined on Friday, but were still on track to have their best week in over 16 months. India pulled back from purchasing due to a growing premium for soft oils. Fund positions are driving the current prices. During the midday break, the benchmark palm oil contract on Bursa Malaysia's Derivatives exchange for delivery in January fell 16 ringgit or 0.35% to 4,587 Ringgit per metric ton. The contract is on track to achieve its largest weekly gain since June 2023.
